Something I have noticed is some horses just can't get a win. They constantly run a place and punters get sucked in to thinking they will win. A few that I backed this week, Dog Tags had 14 starts prior with 1 win and finished second again.

Another one last week was Long Shadow at Geelong which ran second again and sent out a $1.60 favorite. How do we identify these sort of horses and stay clear? I think I have a theory. Wee have to look at win and loss ratio.

Long Shadow is now 15 starts for 0 wins and 10 seconds so the win/loss ratio is 15 to 0 (15 starts for 0 wins). I think if it is more than 10 then stay clear and you will save a lot of money. You will find these sort of horses all over the place.