Race 1
Non betting race.

Race 2
Minaj (3) 54kg $11 eachway
Back in February raced amongst the company of Lanken Rupee and Spirit of Boom. Was certainly no match but wasn't humiliated. After that run was freshened and returned in April to beat Miracles of Life over 1050m carrying 56kg.

Recently freshened after a run at Mooney Valley in late August before returning to the track and running a disappointing race at Caulfield. However, was found to be sore post race. I believe it will be a better Mooney Valley horse and if it comes back fit should lead or not be far from the leader and could give a hell of a sight. At $11 i'm willing to play eachway.

Dangers: Rocky King

Race 3 Lumosty (2) 57kg /Tahini Dancer (4) 57kg Quinella
Lumosty was given no chance in the 1000 Guineas, was way too far back. Form prior to that was terrific at group level behind the likes of Earthquake, Eloping, Afleet Esprit. Can more prominent here as long as it's not too far back again.

The other one in the race I like is Tahni Dancer, has similar form references behind Eloping, Afleet Esprit, Amicus etc. That's the form I want to follow here. Most likely gets back in the run, but a relatively small field and shouldn't be far from the leaders.

Not willing to take odds on about Lumosty, but these two are stand outs for me.

Dangers: Tahni Dancer

Race 4 Galaxy Pegasus (3) 56kg $7 Win
Happy to be on the likely leader in Galaxy Pegasus. In it's first race start dominated the field winning by 7 at Geelong. Marrakesh ran second in that race who trialed second to Eloping prior to that run was 0.3L off Tahni Dancer after being beaten by Galaxy Pegasus. Willing to forgive the run down the straight at Flemington and since won well enough at Kilmore albeit in a benchmark 64.

Dangers: Pressing

Race 5 Albonetti (5) 53kg $15.50 eachway
Can't go past her run in the Naturalism, flying late and rattled off terrific sectionals. Again best work was late last start at Caulfield and i'm convince the further she goes the better she will be after hitting the line nicely. The thing to note is that Big Memory and Signoff (finished 1st and 2nd) were in the leading group rounding the turn, where as Albonetti was well back. Happy to follow her in again at the price especially drawing barrier 5 and having just the 53kg.

Dangers: Precedence, Opinion

Race 6 Akavoroun (5) 59kg $8.50 eachway
A lot of these runners are going up sharply in weight. Akavoroun is one of those very harshly done by going up 6kg, but, that last run was enormous and I argue should have won with a better run. Wide for the entire trip, stuck on to finish just 1.05L behind the eventual winner Trust In A Gust who got a sit outside the leader.
At the $8.50 i'm happy to have a play but I do concede the 6kg jump in weight is a massive question mark. I'll also have a small go at the trifecta

Dangers: Speediness, Trust in a Gust


Race 7 Go Indy Go (9) 55kg $6.50 Win
Big forgive run last start, was too far back but hit the line nicely and the step up to 2000m looks to be a positive one. Is a group 1 winner and can measure up to these if it gets conditions to suit. First up was a complete forgive and forget when she went amiss, the next two have been a terrific lead up to a run over the 2000m. Few of the other main challengers in the race are going up in weight where as GIG drops slightly.

Dangers: Chivalry, Gouldian

Race 8 Fawkner (4) 59kg $4.50
See Cox Plate Preview and Betting Strategy


Race 9 Ava's Delight (3) 54kg $7 Win
Two stand outs in this field. Ava's Delight didn't have much luck in behind Under The Louvre and Lucky Hussler. Held up for a run and flew late 1.25L off the winner. Lucky Hussler has since come out and won impressively last week showing its definitely a good form reference. Will get back in the run but if it gets more luck then start will be in the finish.

Sauvito is another one who had no luck last start, held up at a crucial stage before picking up again and finishing not fair from the winner Star Fashion. Drops 1kg on that run and maps very well. Saver bet on Sauvito and quinella.

Dangers: Sauvito


Best Best: Fawkner
Next Best: Ava's Delight
Value: Albonetti

1,3,4,5 / 2,4,8,13 / 1,2,3,8,11,13 / 4,6,9,10